Tomorrow is Oscars day! Left it a little late to see many of the Oscars films but I've had a late run at it today and what I haven't seen I'm going to piece together from "the buzz".
Here are my predictions of who will walk away with the gold statue tomorrow:
Best Picture
I have seen 7 of the 9 movies nominated in this category. Only Philomena and Captain Phillips are the ones I've missed but I don't think either of those is in the running. This is a tough one as several of the movies are really worthy of winning. Having just watched Dallas Buyers' Club I think I'd rate that as the winner but it is probably just a little too niche so I'm going with the popular sentiment here and saying that "12 Years a Slave" will win.
Best Actor
Another tough call on this one as I've seen all of these performances and all are great. Chiwetel Ejiofor does a great job of both the despair and strength of a free man enslaved. I'm tempted to say he can get there, but Hollywood does love a good redemption and so I think Matthew McConaughey will just take this one out.
Best Actress
Not a lot of point conjecturing about this one - Cate Blanchett seems to have it all wrapped up. Finally we have discovered what can beat Meryl.
Best Supporting Actor
Michael Fassbender gives the most complex performance in this group, and Jonah Hill the least. Again I'm tempted to go with Fassbender as I do like him and he has provided a real thought-provoking role, but this one is probably going to go to Jared Leto. As the waiting to transition transvestite with AIDS who brings some understanding to the homophobic Ron in Dallas Buyers Club, he is beautiful and tragic.
Best Supporting Actress
Only seen 3 of the 5 in this category but this is the real tight race where you don't know where it will go. I enjoyed Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle and June Squibb in Nebraska, but newcomer Lupita Nyong'o had me in tears in 12 Years a Slave with her portrayal of someone with no hope for the future.
Animated Feature Film
Haven't seen any of these but I'd guess that Disney's return to traditional song-based film with a hint of feminism is going to beat the rest. Would have been great to see "The Wind Rises" take it out since it's the last movie for legend Hayao Miyazaki.
Best Director
While Steve McQueen (not the actor) has a real chance for 12 Years a Slave, it has got to be Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity in this category. The film was an absolute technical marvel and whole new level.
Best Cinematography & Best Visual Effects
I'm giving both of these to Gravity as well.
Best Costuming
American Hustle has got to have this one all sewn up - boom boom! Although the Great Gatsby stuff was beautiful, Hustle had the more, ahem, eye-catching approach.
Best Documentary
The film that absolutely should win this category is The Square. One of my top 10 films of last year and one that needs to be seen. However, I'm sad to say that I think "The Act of Killing" is going to be given the award. I hated this movie. However I can see how the voters are going to think that this one is the better documentary for the sheer amount of redemption extracted from the subject matter.
Foreign Film
I haven't seen most of these but I'm going to guess "The Hunt" for this one. On my "must-see" list.
Best Adapted Screenplay
I would have to predict that 12 Years a Slave has the edge in this category.
Best Original Screenplay
Very tough choice here as there are some big movies. But I'm going to go a little left of centre and suggest that "Her" could win this one. It was an amazing original story.
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